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摘要:
不同于陆地滑坡,海底滑坡由于水动力条件这一特殊因素致使其难以观测,其致灾机理、失稳评价流程等也未形成标准。对海底失稳与致灾机理的深入研究,涉及海斗深渊的形成与演化、深水工程开发的商业利益、海洋地质灾害的预测及海洋工程的安全等诸多问题。海底失稳调查与评价流程分为地质调查、灾害机理分析、失稳评价3个方面,综合地球物理、海底原位监测、数值模拟、物理实验模拟等技术方法,形成从前期调查到后期评估的完整流程,对海底稳定性评价工作具有参考意义。
Abstract:Unlike continental landslides, underwater landslides are hard to be observed due to the specific hydrodynamic conditions. So far there have been no standards and guidelines available for the procedures on disaster-causing mechanism studies and instability assessment, which involves not only the in-depth study of seabed instability, but also the formation and evolution of buttle and abyss, deep sea project development, business interests, marine geological disaster forecast, safety of the marine engineering and constructions, and other problems. With the rapid progress in China's marine scientific survey and various submarine projects, great achievements have been made by China in the past decades, in particular in the following three aspects: marine geological survey, disaster mechanism analysis and instability assessment. By integrating geophysical, in-situ seabed monitoring, numerical simulation, physical experiment simulation and other techniques, a complete process from early investigation to late evaluation is preliminarily presented in this paper, which is critical important for seabed stability assessment indeed.
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图 5 Monte Castello地区的多时相滑坡地图[28]
Figure 5.
表 1 海底滑坡灾害损失统计表
Table 1. Loss statistics of submarine landslide disasters
损失类型 编号 年份 地点 诱发滑坡因素 具体描述 电缆 1 1929 纽芬兰岛南部250 km陆坡 7.2级地震 200 km3土体滑移,跨大西洋海底电缆12处断裂[3] 2 1946 加拿大佐治亚海峡 7.2级地震 破坏电缆,引发小型海啸[4] 3 2003 阿尔及利亚 Boumerdes地震 6条电缆及所有海底通信网络[5] 4 2006 吕宋海峡 台湾西南部屏东地震 11条光缆断裂,东南亚断讯12小时[6] 钢架平台等设施 1 1969 美国密西西比河三角洲南 卡米尔飓风诱发土体失稳 3座钢平台破坏,其中B平台滑移30 m,经济损失1亿多美元[7] 2 1973 渤海湾 水下土体滑动 “渤海湾二号”下沉,损失3 600万元[8] 3 2002 意大利斯特龙博利岛 火山山体滑坡,造成海啸 10 m高海啸席卷100 km外的
Milazzo港口[9]生命财产 1 1923 日本相模湾 7.9~8.3级地震 引发12 m高海啸,破坏横滨90%建筑,死亡15.6万人[10] 2 1979 印度尼西亚 滑坡引发海啸 9 m高海啸,死亡1 239人 3 1998 巴布亚新几内 地震滑坡引发海啸 15 m高海啸,死亡2 000人[11] 4 2011 日本东北部太平洋海域 西太平洋9.0级地震和海底滑坡引发海啸 死亡11 232人,并引发福岛第一
核电站核泄漏[12]5 2018 印尼火山喷发 喀拉喀托火山喷发造成滑坡、诱发海啸 伤亡400多人 [13] 6 2018 苏拉威西岛 Palu-Koro断层走滑引发海底滑坡 引发最大海啸波高7.0 m[14] 表 2 海底滑坡研究项目统计
Table 2. Statistics of submarine landslides
年份 项目名称 研究地区/技术手段/设备参数 1984—1991 GLORIA 美国专属经济区 1989—1992 ADFEX 北极三角洲 1993—1996 STEAM 欧洲大西洋边缘 1995—2001 STRATAFORM 墨西哥湾西北部大陆架边缘 1996—1999 ENAMⅡ 欧洲北大西洋边缘 欧洲2000—2004,加拿大2000—2005 COSTA 亚得里亚海、西北地中海 2016 爱尔兰ERC CODEMAP 利用ROV对Rockall Bank滑坡综合体获取精细3D模型 2006年(建成) 加拿大观测网(ONC) 总长850 km,主机站5个 2008年(启动) 欧洲海底观测网(EMSO) 主机站15个 2012年(启动) 中国南海海底观测系统 总长150 km,主机站1个 2015年(建成) 日本海底观测网络DONET 总长300 km,主机站7个,连接部分IODP海底钻孔观测点 日本海底观测网络DONET2 总长450 km,主机站7个 日本海底观测网络S-net 总长5 700 km 2016年(启动) 美国海底观测网(OOI) 总长880 km,主机站7个 2020年(启动) IODP 386 航次 日本海沟,18个站点,海底以下40 m钻探 -
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